Page 7 - 全球能源互联网资讯-第12期 英文(网络版)
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Global Information                                                         NO.12    2021 / 02




            an increase in variable capacity—wavering demand,   tight oil market. Currently, the U.S. has 10.35 billion
            and pandemic-related fuel supply disruptions, 2020   tons of technically recoverable reserves of tight oil,
            showed how important flexibility is and will be to   dominating the global tight oil market, which may
            electricity security.                             affect the supply and demand situation and oil price
               5. Market Forces Are a Wildcard. While the IEA   trend of the global crude oil market in the future.
            has noted a general decline in wholesale power    Sixth, the solar power purchase agreement price
            prices since 2019, the trend accelerated in 2020,   (PPA) will be a record low, reaching 1.3 cents/kWh.
            owing partly to a COVID-driven fall in spot natural   Seventh is the rapid growth of electric vehicle sales.
            gas prices of between 20% and 50%, and a decline in   In 2021, global electric vehicle sales are expected
            power demand.                                     to reach nearly 4 million units, an increase of about
               6. Low-Carbon Policies, Ambitions Are on the   74% year-on-year. Eight, governments will pay more
            Rise. The EMR2020 highlights a dramatic increase   attention to the safe and orderly supply of strategic
            in national policy objectives, alongside local    metal resources (lithium, nickel, cobalt, etc.). Nine,
            power market structures, fuel taxes, and efficiency   China will adjust the coal supply structure, and the
            and renewable support measures to enable          ban on Australian coal imports may last for one year.
            decarbonization of the power sector.              Ten, the U.S. Biden administration will revisit its
               7. Oil’s Notable Comeback.                     climate policy, and may rejoin the Paris Agreement
               8. Sectoral Coupling Poised to Reshape Power.   in 2021 and develop a zero-carbon emissions policy
            In a boost to flexibility efforts, global utility-scale   by 2050. (Source: powerengineeringint)
            battery storage capacity is set for a 20-fold increase
            between 2019 and 2030, with 130 GW of installed   China's National Energy Administration
            batteries globally projected in the STEPS by 2030,   promotes new standard system in the
            the WEO2020 says. Global potential to tap into    energy sector
            demand-side response, enabled by digitalization and   China's National Energy Administration recently   5
            automation, is also expected to increase by another   issued "to accelerate the construction of new
            1,500 TWh, mainly in the buildings sector, but also   standards system in the energy sector guidance,"
            in the residential and transportation sectors. (Source:   containing four aspects. The first is to clarify the
            powermag)                                         role of the government and the market in the
                                                              standardization of energy work to promote the
            Wood Mackenzie reveals energy sector’s            standardization of electric power, nuclear power,
            top ten trends in 2021                            coal, oil and gas, new and renewable energy,
            Wood Mackenzie has released a report on the top   electrical equipment and other industries. The
            10 trends in energy development forecast for 2021.   second is to highlight the positioning of security,
            First, oil demand growth is strong. Global oil demand   the bottom line; clarify the recommended
            is expected to increase by more than 6.6 million   standards of public welfare attributes; focus on
            barrels per year from 2021 onwards, and to drive   new energy technologies, new industries, new
            oil prices ever higher. Second, the upstream oil and   business models and new models, and foster the
            gas industry investment is low. It is expected that   development of group standards. Third, actively
            in 2021, the upstream industry investment scale   support energy environmental protection, energy
            will remain at a relatively low level of $300 billion.   efficiency and other mandatory standards; in
            Third, oil and gas companies are accelerating their   the field of new energy and power and electrical
            decarbonization transition. For example, European   equipment and new technologies, the Internet, big
            oil and gas companies will invest huge amounts of   data, artificial intelligence, blockchain and other
            money to promote the development of low-carbon    digital technologies and energy integration and
            technologies and accelerate the goal of zero-carbon   development, and actively promote the expansion
            transition. Fourth, climate reduction will become   of group standards to improve quality. Fourth,
            an endogenous driving force for enterprises, 30   take the lead in promoting smart energy, energy
            large global fund companies intend to develop plans   Internet, wind power, solar energy, geothermal
            to achieve net zero emissions in their investment   energy, biomass, energy storage, hydrogen energy
            portfolios by 2050. Fifth, the U.S. leads the global   and other emerging areas of the standard system


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